False breakout

Price popped beyond a level and came straight back. That's how the stops of everyone who believed the break get collected.

Author: I. D. Galtsov

Scheme on candles

False breakout — what it is?

A false breakout is a move beyond a level with a quick return back. The candle breaks through, the crowd enters in the direction of the break, price turns and goes against them.

In terms of market mechanics this is neither a mistake nor an accident. Stops and pending orders sat beyond the level: the move there was needed to collect them.

That's why a false breakout is one of the most informative signals. It shows that the liquidity beyond the level has already been taken, and the real move will go the other way.

False breakout — how it is built?

The signs: a move beyond the level, no close beyond it or a close with an immediate return, a long wick in the direction of the break. Inside a range the same phenomenon is called a poke, and in Wyckoff terms it's a Spring at the bottom and a UTAD at the top.

False breakout — common mistakes

Entering in the direction of the break before the candle closes.

Reversing right after the return, without confirmation from a change of structure.

Placing your stop right behind the extreme of the piercing: price often reaches there once more.

Calling every return a false breakout. The return has to be fast, otherwise it's an ordinary retest.

Related to

Glossary

candle
the element of the chart that shows four prices for a period: open, high, low, close.
liquidity
a cluster of pending orders and stops in a particular zone. The fuel for large capital to move.
close
the last price of the period. Considered the most important of the four: breakouts are confirmed by the close.
long
buying in expectation of a rise.
wick
the thin lines above and below the body that show the high and the low of the period.
range
movement inside a horizontal corridor with no clear direction.

Test yourself

Where did the breakout hold — price closed beyond the level?

Correct. The app has tasks like this in every lesson — 119 lessons on real charts. Solve in the app →

Not this one. The right answer is the other chart. The app has tasks like this in every lesson — 119 lessons on real charts. Solve in the app →

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